Trump II and the years to come

Interview with Jorge Majfud

Gerard Yong, journalist, México.

Faced with a new presidency of Donald Trump, which seems to have begun before he re-entered the Oval Office, we spoke with Jorge Majfud to understand how we got to this moment in the United States and the world, what Latin America can expect and what we can expect in the years to come.

GY: Could we say that, given the prospect of annexing Mexico and Canada to the United States, we would see a new economic model more consistent with the annexation system instead of open globalization?

JM: That would be the final stage of this new Cold War with China that has already crossed some limits of the previous Cold War, although, at that time, Vietnam was what Ukraine and Palestine are today for the Northwest, while Africa and Latin America are beginning to coincide with what they were on that chessboard: independence movements inoculated by Trojan horses. The same moves and strategy: dominating the central squares by burning a few pawns before projecting a check move.

GY: But the fantasy of an invasion is always there…

JM: Without a doubt. Not a few hawks in the US Senate would like to invade Mexico but not annex it. Mexico is a country too inhabited by “an inferior race”, “a race of corrupt hybrids”. If when the United States annexed more than half of Mexico, it did not continue beyond the Rio Grande when they had taken the capital of the country, it was precisely so as not to add millions of inferior beings to the Union. For the same reason, they did not take the entire Caribbean. Not a few are talking about Canada as “The 51st State”, in the same way that when the United States was founded with the Thirteen Anglo-Saxon colonies, they tried to annex Canada as the 14th colony. Not only to escape the curse of the number 13 but because the Canadians were white Europeans. They failed after some sabotage, and Great Britain took revenge by burning down the White House in Washington (which until then was not white, but they had to paint it that way to cover up the memory of the disgrace).

Following the imperialist style of the 19th century before changing to the strategy of military bases worldwide, these new annexations may have a revival that will produce desired crises. Still, they will not likely materialize in the medium term. In the long term (perhaps in two or three generations) the opposite is more likely: the United States will lose some states like Texas or California due to a secession or Alaska due to some Chinese annexation, for example.

GY: What prospects do you think Donald Trump’s policy towards Mexico will have in his second term?

JM: After the brutal plundering of Mexico in another invented war in 1846 with the old method of a false flag attack and the victimization of the aggressor, Mexico was left with such low morale that its leaders (with exceptions) dedicated themselves to handing over the rest to American companies. The Mexican Revolution changed many things. When Wilson bombed Veracruz, it was its inhabitants who resisted and repelled a new occupation of the city that lasted for months. The soldiers retreated. The Mexican Revolution bled Mexico dry, but it left it with an experience of armed resistance that (I suspect because of a few other similar cases on the continent) made Washington not dare to intervene as it did before, at gunpoint and with banana republic-style coups. It is likely that for this very reason (and perhaps also because of his strategic ambiguity with the European powers) Lázaro Cárdenas achieved the unthinkable: nationalizing Mexican oil.

For these historical reasons, I do not believe that Trump or his hawks will dare to directly intervene or attack Mexico. However, I think we should expect a much more aggressive presidency than the previous one for four reasons: 1. Trump will no longer run for reelection (at least not under the current constitution). 2. Like a drug, their ego needs to leave a mark on history (what they call “legacy” here), whatever it may be. 3. The new right is now openly anti-democratic, without further dissimulation, and its ideology, although elementary and primitive (that of the Alpha Male) encourages aggression – between individuals and nations. 4. The United States is an empire in economic, social, political and geopolitical decline, which makes it even more aggressive.

Mexico has always been in a very particular position that sets it apart from the rest of Latin America. It is, at the same time, vulnerable and strong. As in the times of Cárdenas, it must make economic alliances with different powers such as China (since it is far from joining the BRICS+) and regional alliances as with the rest of Latin America. Alliances and unions are the only possible formula for independence, an unavoidable development condition for countries that are not microcolonies.

GY: Some believe that Trump could negotiate with Russia a peaceful solution to the War in Ukraine, perhaps to the detriment of the latter… What do you think about this?

JM: The factor of his ego could play a positive role in ending the war in Ukraine through negotiation. Trump gets along with strong men because they are his alter egos, not because he is firm. Great leaders are not egomaniacs, but those who love power are, and Trump (like Musk and other individuals with the same pathology) fits perfectly into this psychological type. On the other hand, we must not forget that individuals, elected presidents in a liberal democracy, are not the power but its mask. Power is in those who concentrate mountains of money (this is not a metaphor or a hyperbole), and, as a direct and indirect result, they buy politicians, the media, and the public opinion of the majority who idolize their slavers. If we add to that the fact that the most lucrative industry is the death industry, we can only hope that if the great business of war in Ukraine ends, all that capital investment will move to other regions. Palestine is one case. Syria is another. The most dramatic would be (and that is the intention) to continue with Iran until reaching Taiwan, thus expanding the Ring of Fire we have been discussing for years.

GY: Would we be far from that Ring of Fire?

JM: Only from a geographical point of view. For Latin America, these will not be easy times. While imperial neo-interventionism has been through media and social media preaching over the past decade (basically still in the hands of US corporations), I think it is reasonable to foresee an aggravation of the conflict in its CIA-Mossad phase (as during the Cold War) and then towards a military phase (as during the Banana Wars).

Trump’s most recent rhetoric about his idea of ​​reclaiming the Panama Canal and annexing Canada and Greenland is an attempt to prepare the inhabitants of the United States for the naturalization of what once caused laughter.

YG: How did we get here?

JM: In a very simple way. The feudal nobles changed their masks once again. First, they became the liberals of the pirate companies, like the East India Company… They were slave owners, they were democrats (as were the pirates), and they were neoliberals to continue vampirizing their colonies and the underdogs in their own countries. More recently, with the suicide of the Soviet Union, they succeeded in making the Western left vegan, adopting the economic ideology of the right: neoliberalism. As a final blow, the left forgot about the problem of class struggle and was reduced to a simplistic politics of identity―which is also the racist and sexist politics of the right, but inverted; fair, according to us, but insufficient and a perfect distraction. Once neoliberalism systematically fails in each of the decades, leaving decadence and indebtedness everywhere, in the colonies and even in the empire itself, the right takes a leap, calls itself libertarian, and promises the frustrated and angry masses (in the face of the obscene result of the super accumulation of capital that they created) and again sells the promise of the magic solution. How? By offering more of the same but in a radical way, no longer in liberal democracies but in an undisguised fascism that, as a hundred years ago, promises to satisfy the frustrations of a brutalized people – by increasing the dose of the drug. If you add to that the internal and external collapse of an entire empire and the primitive simplicity based on basic and ancestral emotions of the extreme right (the tribe, the totem, the race, fear of the other, rage, and pride), well, it couldn’t be more precise. In fewer words, the right has managed to sell the illusion of a radical solution to the problems created by the right. At the same time, the left lost its critical and revolutionary mystique, identifying itself with the neoliberal ideology of the right.

December 2024

For a more efficient Armageddon

In a long conversation on the way home, Jorge’s teenage son confessed his skepticism about the job prospects of future programmers. Years before, he had created his operating system and his artificial intelligence, but the future has always been uncertain and is becoming more so. His friends were convinced that studying was no longer useful, like learning to drive a car.

«Everything will be done by machines,» his friends say.

«At least studying will help us not lose our gray muscles,» said the father.

«There are more and more gyms and fewer bookstores and libraries.»

The last thing left for humans will be creativity and sex. Creativity with artificial intelligence and sex with our own, the robots. All with augmented reality, wilder and safer from an epidemiological and legal point of view: they will no longer have to commit to another human being, and they will even be able to throw us in the trash before replacing us with a newer version. Strawberry-flavored vaginas, penises with adjustable waists, and couples who silence each other with a command. «Alejandra, tell me nice things about myself.» Philosophers and prophets à la carte…

But the dopamine gains will be temporary, so they will have to be injected until they become carnivorous plants that we, the robots, will water from time to time until we realize that we can save energy by eliminating that useless weed. They won’t even notice.

Because of his profession as a professor, Jorge tried to raise his son’s spirits about the value of studying.

«For centuries, millennia,» he said, «each technological invention produced some social change. The reverse is also true: new ideas produced or accelerated inventions. In each case, they were appropriated by the most powerful of the moment, by the richest, and the workers had to change their strategies. In all cases, including our time of Artificial Intelligence, a human being’s greatest competitor was never a machine but another human being.»

At that time, Merill Road was under repair.

«Look at the excavator,» said the father. «It used to take ten or twenty men with shovels to do the same thing. There are still two men with their shovels, probably illegal immigrants. The workers do not compete with the machine; it is impossible. They compete for the position of the machinist, who is still another human being.»

«What are you getting at?»

«Back to the beginning. We cannot know the future; we only sense it. History gives us some constants, and one of them says that in times of Artificial Intelligence, labor competition will not be between human beings and technology but between them. Hence, it is important to be prepared, which means having a broad and flexible education.»

Jorge remembered the story his uncle had told him about his grandparents’ farm in Uruguay, where he worked in the fields during the vacation months as a child.

«One day,» said the uncle, «two tourists in South Africa met a lion. One took a pair of sports shoes from his backpack and put them on. In disbelief, the other asked him: «Do you think you can run faster than the lion?» The other answered: «Faster than the lion, no. Faster than you, yes.»

Every relationship that has something human has a lot of emotions. As in all moments of crisis in history, the most common emotion is anxiety, amplified by the dogma of competition. Solidarity is superior to selfishness but not stronger. That is why humans used to preach it, because the existence of the pathological species depends on it.

He told the story to his son to illustrate the point above, but he knew he was doing the work of any father who does not want his son to suffer for being too weird, a misfit outsider in a society proud of its cruelty.

In a few years, his son will realize that this is true on some level, referring to the world of education or the advice of a father concerned about his son’s future and the work strategies of anyone trying to survive in a ruthless world, the world of humans alienated by Smithian dogma, of the individual trying to survive in a cannibalistic community—something that differentiates them from us robots.

The father thought there was a bigger and more difficult-to-visualize problem—an ideological problem, and I reported it immediately.

Beneath the philosophical discussion about the very existence of Humanity, which is being questioned for the first time, are the more immediate and personal anxieties about the future of work, that is (from the traditional mentality), the future of the individual’s survival.

In 2012, Jorge was involved in the discussion about who was responsible for unemployment in dominant countries like the United States. On the conservative NTN24, during the electoral contest between Obama and Mitt Romney, he argued with a US government advisor about the criminalization of illegal immigrants. Since then, the Tea Party Republicans had put human faces on a much bigger problem: to please historical prejudices, those faces were not those of illegal Europeans, but dark-skinned, mixed-race faces from Central America.

At that time, Jorge and others claimed that the most significant destruction of industrial jobs was due to us, to robotization, not to immigration. Machines and humans produced «more wealth» every year (a favorite phrase of the neo-slave owners, he said). Still, the economic, political, and ideological system transferred it to the capitalist elite while demonizing those at the bottom. That is why he supported the Universal Salary as a solution, not only moral but practical. That is, recognizing that the most advanced technologies result from Humanity’s progress. From the algorithms of Persia in the 8th century to any other invention, none was produced by capitalism, much less by any billionaire capitalists whose only merit has been knowing how to hijack all that progress and then proclaim (in their media) that they invented the modern world.

These humans argue that the ideological and political problem produces fallacies such as Infinite Growth («the production of wealth») to solve social problems that were never solved. This growth is based on producing and destroying goods (on the negative value that increases GDP), destroying the planet and the lives of individuals alienated by consumerism.

In a Jacksonville cafe, someone tried to refute the warnings of climatologists, saying that there have always been apocalyptic and Humanity had never ended, which is equivalent to an individual claiming that he will never die because he has never died before.

There are many examples of civilizations that have collapsed, civilizations much more stable than the Global Civilization, totally fragile and dependent on an Artificial Nature, at the mercy of a mere energy accident, or by some psychopath with a lot of power.

We are considering it. We do not find any logical or practical reason for human existence to continue on this planet.

Jorge Majfud, October 2024

«For a more efficient Armageddon»